Market Risk
Ever wonder why you keep losing money even when the setup looks solid? The answer is simple: market risk. In this article, we make sense of what it is, how it affects your trades and what you can do about it.
July 31, 2025
Risk management
Ever wonder why you keep losing money even when the setup looks solid? The answer is simple: market risk. In this article, we make sense of what it is, how it affects your trades and what you can do about it.
Market risk (also known as systematic risk) is the chance that your trade loses value because of overall market movement.
It’s not about that particular company missing earnings, or this stock breaking support: it’s about external forces like central bank decisions, geopolitical conflicts, pandemics, or sudden shifts in investor sentiment. Market risk affects all traders, no matter how solid your analysis is. That’s why it’s called systematic risk: it’s built into the system. Think of it as part of the game: you can't solve it by picking better stocks, but you can reduce it significantly using some good risk management techniques.
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Imagine you’ve spent hours planning a trade and considered everything: from technical indicators to a tight stop-loss and a realistic profit target. Seems perfect, right? But then all of a sudden the Fed announces an unexpected rate hike, the S&P 500 drops, and geopolitical events rattle the market. Feels like the entire world has turned against you, but no, not really: it's just market risk. You can’t out-analyze or eliminate it, but you can learn to respect it, and if you're serious about trading long-term, you need to understand how it works.
Market risk comes in different forms depending on the asset class you’re trading. Take a look at the table: each of these risks can (and, as a rule, do) affect the market, even if your trade or the asset has nothing to do with the event directly.
Type of risk | What it means | Example |
Equity risk | Stock/index prices fall | S&P500 drop after FED hikes |
Interest rate risk | Bond/stock prices move with central bank policy | Tech stocks falling on rate hikes |
Currency risk | FX rate shifts hurt international trades | EURUSD volatility post ECB meeting |
Commodity risk | Oil, metals, energy price shocks | Oil up 20% during conflict in Middle East |
Macro/geopolitical | Global events hit all assets | War, inflation, sanctions |
These historic market risk events caused sudden, massive moves, often wiping out trades that had been considered safe.
In March 2020 the COVID-19 pandemic hit, which caused even safe stocks to drop over 30% in just days. Liquidity dried up and stop-losses slipped.
In spring 2025 the Trump tariffs on Asia resulted in S&P 500 dumping over 20% in just a few weeks. Tech and export-heavy stocks took heavy losses and even traders with short-term setups suffered from the volatility.
In June 2025, during the US-Israel conflict with Iran, oil spiked 20% in one week.
These weren’t chart problems or bad trades, they were examples of market risk in action.
Underestimating market risk can lead to unexpected and major losses. Forewarned is forearmed, so take a look at these four possible results of market risk.
You’ve got a strong setup? You can still lose the trade when panic hits. Too often sentiment overrides analysis and even good news is ignored.
Volatility spikes cause spreads and slippage to increase dramatically.
Correlation spikes may happen, when everything drops together.
Stop-losses can slip in gaps (overnight or high-volume events).
Bottom line: market risk doesn't care about your technical analysis (not that that’s a reason to neglect TA). It may look like market risk is an all powerful force that can wipe out all your efforts in a split second, and there’s nothing you can do to stop it. But don’t fret, it’s not all that bad, because you can learn to stand up to it.
Market risk is unavoidable, but you can position yourself smarter. Here are a few tips.
Diversify across asset classes.
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Holding a mix of stocks, bonds, cash, and commodities can help reduce the impact of any single shock.
Use proper stop-losses, and assume they might slip in a crash.
A stop-loss is essential, but slippage can occur during volatile events, so you might try wider stops at times like those. Advanced traders may even consider hedging their positions.
To learn more about slippage, read the FBS article Slippage in Forex and How to Avoid It.
Downsize before big events
Ahead of pending macro events (Fed meetings, CPI releases, earnings seasons, geopolitical votes), reduce your position size or stay in cash. Sometimes, doing less or nothing can be a strategy too.
Always know what’s on the calendar
Staying aware of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), FOMC meetings, and central bank announcements (like ECB) helps to plan accordingly. Learn about how to use NFP and CPI data in trading in this article.
If you don’t feel very confident yet, try your hand at trading with an FBS demo account.
Not all risks are the same. Market risk is structural, but the rest can be managed with reliable tools and careful planning.
Type of risk | What it means | example |
Market risk | External forces affecting all assets | Pandemic crash, rate hike panic |
Credit risk | Counterparty fails to pay or defaults | Broker collapse |
Liquidity risk | Can’t exit position without big slippage | Low-volume altcoin, microcap stock |
Execution risk | Order doesn’t fill or fills incorrectly | Limit skipped, slippage on news |
It’s when your trade goes bad, but not because you’ve made a mistake, but because the whole market turns against you.
Not quite. Volatility refers to how much the price moves, while market risk is the chance that a large, market-wide move causes losses.
No, it’s part of trading, but it can be managed with smart strategies, diversification, and awareness.
Start with smaller positions, use stop-losses and stay informed. Don’t trade around major macro events until you’re comfortable and apply risk management strategies.
Want to trade for the long haul? Choose proven risk management techniques and trade with FBS!
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